Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.344245 0.401694 0.465984 0.543311 0.633870 0.736659 0.862322
2025-01-05 0.247149 0.320196 0.411046 0.532570 0.691266 0.892018 1.166160
2025-01-12 0.197754 0.275092 0.378452 0.527155 0.736460 1.021834 1.442695
2025-01-19 0.167209 0.246431 0.358687 0.530085 0.786612 1.158584 1.743118
2025-01-26 0.151135 0.234216 0.358093 0.557327 0.871998 1.353649 2.154140
2025-02-02 0.137896 0.223485 0.357037 0.582062 0.955049 1.554431 2.602234
2025-02-09 0.125357 0.211580 0.351787 0.598242 1.025140 1.742358 3.055622
2025-02-16 0.113044 0.198032 0.341566 0.603895 1.077120 1.905525 3.488926
2025-02-23 0.101223 0.183540 0.327527 0.600384 1.111553 2.041326 3.891249
2025-03-02 0.089165 0.166927 0.307447 0.582852 1.117281 2.124752 4.205964
2025-03-09 0.083499 0.161258 0.306304 0.600078 1.190124 2.342095 4.811187
2025-03-16 0.076735 0.152581 0.298337 0.602818 1.234524 2.509268 5.338430
2025-03-23 0.071527 0.146467 0.294874 0.614729 1.300473 2.731400 6.021665
2025-03-30 0.064413 0.135625 0.280724 0.602869 1.315430 2.850546 6.501799
2025-04-06 0.058723 0.127004 0.270002 0.596711 1.341513 2.996445 7.063955
2025-04-13 0.054508 0.121001 0.264023 0.600039 1.388961 3.195681 7.781244
2025-04-20 0.052906 0.120544 0.269966 0.630980 1.504025 3.565003 8.967868
2025-04-27 0.051149 0.119506 0.274455 0.659079 1.616209 3.943108 10.237680
2025-05-04 0.048822 0.116841 0.274876 0.677461 1.707182 4.282346 11.462475
2025-05-11 0.045916 0.112436 0.270670 0.683884 1.768962 4.557147 12.560508
2025-05-18 0.042657 0.106770 0.262756 0.679895 1.803275 4.766056 13.511821
2025-05-25 0.038833 0.099234 0.249360 0.659976 1.792601 4.854630 14.137281
2025-06-01 0.037401 0.097657 0.250783 0.679547 1.892148 5.256208 15.742425